Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 5.131608 5.844458 6.629841 7.560867 8.636423 9.842253 11.299840
2025-05-04 4.292976 5.248661 6.385708 7.844200 9.673875 11.904273 14.845973
2025-05-11 3.584176 4.610494 5.901113 7.654594 9.992241 13.025598 17.299160
2025-05-18 3.114817 4.174489 5.568246 7.553094 10.335398 14.138657 19.802965
2025-05-25 2.762437 3.833903 5.298341 7.470173 10.650212 15.199743 22.316197
2025-06-01 2.466533 3.529423 5.031900 7.341389 10.856544 16.094733 24.659188
2025-06-08 2.214112 3.255794 4.773353 7.182470 10.980179 16.853587 26.854854
2025-06-15 2.116058 3.196451 4.818058 7.476288 11.816396 18.784360 31.148353
2025-06-22 1.979082 3.062275 4.732120 7.549696 12.298537 20.186767 34.722426
2025-06-29 1.832823 2.898646 4.582233 7.499212 12.561554 21.239644 37.803119
2025-07-06 1.696335 2.737765 4.420521 7.409075 12.739998 22.154024 40.731598
2025-07-13 1.635663 2.695440 4.448264 7.641917 13.503492 24.180558 46.001585
2025-07-20 1.563887 2.629862 4.433442 7.802811 14.162560 26.107026 51.382087
2025-07-27 1.517109 2.603028 4.482381 8.082237 15.070926 28.608342 58.283745
2025-08-03 1.401448 2.445024 4.285364 7.884845 15.039478 29.263270 61.389092
2025-08-10 1.310431 2.323965 4.144667 7.779844 15.176101 30.265275 65.379000
2025-08-17 1.230453 2.216784 4.020476 7.694186 15.340246 31.337177 69.669176
2025-08-24 1.151463 2.105406 3.879375 7.561182 15.390487 32.168200 73.511881
2025-08-31 1.075487 1.994156 3.729838 7.397069 15.356454 32.808008 76.982664
2025-09-07 1.059915 1.997929 3.803668 7.700499 16.366386 35.893678 86.941465
2025-09-14 1.019692 1.950244 3.771520 7.776314 16.877114 37.891622 94.440756
2025-09-21 0.968915 1.877852 3.683930 7.724175 17.090025 39.209660 100.351820
2025-09-28 0.917767 1.801183 3.581902 7.631084 17.197485 40.283623 105.765544